Monday, February 13, 2017

Unemployment - February 09, 2017

Unemployment


  • Unemployment:
    - % of people who do not have jobs that are in the labor force
  • Unemployment rate:
    - # unemployed   *100
      # in labor force
    -Labor force: employed + unemployed
    -Standard # is 4-5%

  • Not Counted in the labor force:
    -Kids
    -Military personnel
    -People in mental institutions
    -Homemakers
    -Retired people
    -Full time students
    -Incarcerated people
    -Discouraged

  • 4 types of unemployment
    1) Frictional
        -Temporarily employed or in between jobs
        -Individuals are qualified workers with transferable skills but arent working
        -Individuals who are fired and looking for better jobs

    2) Seasonal

        -Specific type of frictional unemployment which is due to the time of the year and nature of the job
        -These jobs will come back
        -Construction workers are an example

    3) Structural 

        -Changes in the structure of the labor force makes some skills obsolete
        -Workers do not have transferable skills and these jobs will never come back
        -Workers must learn new skills to get a job
        -The permanent loss of these jobs is called "creative destruction"
       
    4) Cyclical

        -Downturns in the business cycle, which will result in a recession
        -As demand for goods and services falls, demand for labor falls and workers are fired
        -Restaurant owners fire workers after months of poor sales due to recessions
  • The national rate and Full Employment
    -Two of the three tyoes of unemployment are unavoidable ( frictional and structural)
    - Frictioanl (+) Structural (=) NRU (4-5%)
    - National rate of unemployment is NRU
    - Full employment = no cyclical unemployment
  • Okun's law:
    -When unemployment rises 1% above the NRU, GDP falls about 2%
  • Who are employed people?
    - Part-time workers
    - Leave of absence
    - Employed even if you work 1 hour a month




                                    

Inflation- February 06, 2017

Inflation
  • Inflation:
    -Increase or rise in price or general rising level of prices
    -Reduces the 'purchasing power' of money
  • Purchasing power:-Amount of goods and services that your money can buy

  • Three Cause of Inflation1) Printing too much money
    2) Demand- Pull inflation   
        -caused by an excess of Demand over output that pulls prices upward
    3) Cost- Pull inflation    
        -caused by a rise in per unit production costs due to increasing resource cost
  • Inflation rate:
    -Ideal inflation rate is 2- 3%
    -(Current Price index - Base year price index)  * 100
                      Base year price index
  • Rule of 70
    -Used to calculate the # of years it will take for the price level to double at any given rate of inflation
    -(70/annual rate of inflation)
  • Deflation:
    -General decline in the price level
  • Disinflation:
    -Occurs when the inflation rate itself declines
  • Nominal Interest rate
    -Unadjusted cost of borrowing or lending money
  • Real interest rate:
    -Cost of borrowing or lending money adjusted for inflation
    -Real = nominal interest rate - expected inflation
  • Unanticipated inflation (Hurt by inflation):
    -Lenders - people who lend money at fixed interest rates
    -People with fixed incomes
    -Savers
  • Anticipated inflation (Helped by inflation):
    -Borrowers- people who borrow money
    -A business where the price of the product increases faster than the price of resources
  • Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA):
    -Some workers have salaries that mirror inflation
    -They negotiate wages that rise with inflation

    Real GDP vs. Nominal GDP- February 03, 2017

    Real GDP vs. Nominal GDP

    • Nominal GDP:
      -Value of output produced in current year prices
      -Can increase from year to year, if either output or price increase
      -P * Q
      -In the base year, real & nominal GDP are equal
      -In years after the base year, nominal will exceed
      -Current Quantity * Current price
    • Real GDP:
      -Value of output produced in constant based year prices.
      -Adjusts for inflation
      -Only increases if output increases
      -P * Q
      -Measures economic growth
      -Current quantity * Base year Price
    • GDP Deflator:
      -Price index used to adjust from Nominal to Real GDP
      -(Nominal GDP/Real GDP) * 100
      -In the base year, GDP deflator will always equal to 100
      -For years after that, GDP deflator is greater than 100
      -For years before the base year, GDP deflator is less than 100
    • Consumer Price Index (CPI)
      -Measures inflation by tracking changes in the price of a market basket of goods
      -(Price of market Basket in current year/Price of market basket in base year) *100


    Sunday, February 12, 2017

    Calculations- February 01, 2017

    Calculations
    • Trade:
      - Exports (-) imports
      - Positive = Surplus
      - Negative = Deficit
    • Budget:
      -Government purchases of goods/services (+) Government Transfer Payments (-) Government Tax and Fee Collection
      -Positive = Deficit
      -Negative = Surplus
    • National Income:
      1. Compensation of employees (+) Rental income (+) Interest Income (+) Proprietor's Income (+) Corporate Profits
      2. GDP (-) Indirect Business Taxes (-) Depreciation (-) Net Foreign Factor Payment
    • Disposable Income: 
      - National income (-) Personal household taxes (+) Government transfer payments.
    • Net Domestic Product:
      -GDP (-) Depreciation

    • Net national Product:
      -GNP (-) Depreciation
    • Gross National Product:
      -GDP (+) Net Foreign Factor Payment
    • Depreciation:
      -Consumption of fixed capital
      -Wear & tear of capital equipment

    • Gross Investment:
      -Net investment (+) Depreciation 

    Calculating GDP- January 31, 2017

    • Expenditure approach to GDP:
      -C
      -Ig
      -G
      -Xn

    • Income approach to GDP:
      -Wages
      -Rents
      -Interest
      -Profit
      -Statistical Adjustments.                                                                                                                                                                    

    GDP and GNP- January 30, 2017

    GDP and GNP

    • Gross Domestic Product (GDP):
      -Total value of all final goods & services produced within a country's borders in a given year.
      -Includes all production or income earned within the U.S by U.S and foreign producers.
      -Excludes production outside of the U.S, even by Americans.
    • GDP formula: 
      -C + Ig + G +Xn
    • C: consumption (67%)
    • Ig: Gross private Domestic Investment (18%)
      -Factor equipment maintenance
      -New Factor equipment
      -Construction of Housing
      -Unsold inventory of products built in a year
    • G: Government purchases (17%)
      -The government purchasing goods, services, weapons, etc.

    • Xn: Net exports (-2%)
      -Exports - Importsk

    • Included in GDP:
      -C, Ig, G, Xn
    • Excluded in GDP:
      1)Intermediate goods
          -inputs used to produce final goods and services
          -avoid double or multiple counting
      2) Used or Second hand goods
          -avoid double or multiple counting
      3) Stocks and bounds
          -no production involved
      4) Gifts or Transfer Payment
          -Private + public
          -Scholarships, social security, unemployment
      5) Illegal Activities
      6) Unreported Business activities
          -Tips
      7) Non- Market Activity
          -Volunteer, babysitting

    Circular Flow Model- January 26, 2017

    Circular Flow Model

    • Circular Flow Model:
      -Represents transactions in an economy by flows around a circle
    • Household: 
      -A person/group of people who share an income

    • Firm/Business: 
      -An organization that produces goods/ services for sale.